AI Prediction Accuracy Tracker
Comprehensive performance data across all tracked predictions
42
Total Tracked
59.5%
Hit Rate
3
Days Tracked
77.8%
Best Day (2026-04-26)
Confidence Calibration
How well do confidence scores predict actual outcomes?
| Tier | Count | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| High Confidence (>80%) | 15 | 12 | 80% |
| Medium (60-80%) | 17 | 8 | 47.1% |
| Low (<60%) | 10 | 5 | 50% |
Risk Level Performance
Hit rates segmented by risk classification
Low Risk
68.8%
11W / 5L(16 total)
Medium Risk
50%
11W / 11L(22 total)
High Risk
75%
3W / 1L(4 total)
Grade Performance
Hot picks vs warm picks accuracy comparison
HOTHot Picks
61.5%
8W / 5L(13 total)
WARMWarm Picks
58.6%
17W / 12L(29 total)
League Accuracy Rankings
Performance by league (min. 2 finished matches)
| League | Total | Hits | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Turkey - Süper Lig | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| Saudi-Arabia - Pro League | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| USA - Major League Soccer | 4 | 3 | 75% |
| South-Korea - K League 1 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Mexico - Liga MX | 3 | 2 | 66.7% |
| Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina | 5 | 3 | 60% |
| Vietnam - V.League 1 | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| Spain - La Liga | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| England - Premier League | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| China - Super League | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| England - Championship | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| South-Korea - K League 2 | 4 | 1 | 25% |
Daily Performance Trend
| Date | Total | W/L | Hit Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | 9 | 7/2 | 77.8% |
| 2026-04-25 | 19 | 10/9 | 52.6% |
| 2026-04-24 | 14 | 8/6 | 57.1% |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall accuracy of AI predictions?▾
Our AI model has completed 42 predictions with an overall hit rate of 59.5%. High-confidence predictions (>80%) achieve a 80% hit rate, demonstrating stronger reliability in high-certainty scenarios.
How are confidence scores calculated?▾
Confidence scores are calculated using a multi-factor model combining recent form (last 5 matches), head-to-head records, Poisson goal distribution, attacking/defensive efficiency, and home advantage. When all factors align, confidence scores are naturally higher.
What is the difference between low-risk and high-risk predictions?▾
Low-risk predictions mean multiple data factors strongly agree, making outcomes more predictable. High-risk predictions have conflicting signals (e.g., good form but poor head-to-head). Low-risk hit rate: 68.8%, high-risk: 75%.
How often is this data updated?▾
Accuracy data is updated daily after all matches conclude. Each day's results are reflected within hours of completion. We currently track 3 days of prediction data.