Live

Arbitrage Scanner

Cross-market scanner detecting risk-free arbitrage opportunities and high expected-value bets across sportsbooks and prediction markets.

Updated: Friday, April 24, 2026

30

Events Analyzed

11

Arb Found

1

Value Bets

Polymarket

Data Sources

Arbitrage Opportunities

11 risk-free arbs detected across 30 events

outrightArb

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

+215.96%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Polymarket

6.25x
50.5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Polymarket

8.00x
39.5%

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Polymarket

31.75x
9.9%

Showing top 3 of 3 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Netanyahu out by...?

+102.63%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Polymarket

2.30x
88.2%

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Polymarket

18.18x
11.1%

Netanyahu out by April 30?

Polymarket

285.71x
0.7%

Showing top 3 of 3 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

+29.03%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

3.82x
33.7%

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

12.05x
10.7%

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Polymarket

12.82x
10.1%

Showing top 3 of 20 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Presidential Election Winner 2028

+22.55%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

5.29x
23.2%

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

5.80x
21.1%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket

9.48x
12.9%

Showing top 3 of 20 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

+16.41%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

2.53x
46.0%

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

4.93x
23.6%

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Polymarket

20.62x
5.7%

Showing top 3 of 19 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Next French Presidential Election

+12.23%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

4.65x
24.1%

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

4.88x
23.0%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Polymarket

11.11x
10.1%

Showing top 3 of 20 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

+6.61%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

5.99x
17.8%

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

6.39x
16.7%

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Polymarket

9.01x
11.8%

Showing top 3 of 20 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Eurovision Winner 2026

+2.72%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

2.74x
37.4%

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

8.44x
12.2%

Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?

Polymarket

9.05x
11.3%

Showing top 3 of 20 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Brazil Presidential Election

+1.21%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

2.58x
39.3%

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

2.82x
35.9%

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Polymarket

11.05x
9.2%

Showing top 3 of 15 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake
outrightArb

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

+0.60%
OutcomeBest OddsStake %

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Polymarket

1.01x
99.3%

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Polymarket

222.22x
0.5%

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Polymarket

2000.00x
0.1%

Showing top 3 of 6 outcomes — size bets proportionally to lock in the spread.

Bet on Stake

Value Bets

Top 1 positive expected-value opportunities — sorted by EV

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Polymarket
117.65x
+2832.3%
24.9%

How It Works

Understanding arbitrage and expected value

Arbitrage Betting

An arbitrage opportunity exists when the combined implied probabilities across different bookmakers sum to less than 100%. By placing proportional bets on all outcomes, you guarantee a profit regardless of the result.

If Σ (1/odds) < 1.0 → arb exists

The profit margin equals 1 minus the sum of implied probabilities. Higher margins mean bigger guaranteed returns.

Expected Value (EV)

A value bet exists when the true probability of an outcome is higher than what the odds imply. The expected value quantifies the long-run edge per unit staked.

EV = (True Prob × Decimal Odds) − 1

Consensus probability is derived by aggregating odds from multiple sources. Positive EV means the bet is mathematically profitable over time.

Cross-market scanning
Real-time odds comparison
Updated daily
Mathematical edge

Disclaimer: Arbitrage and value bet data is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Odds change rapidly — always verify current prices before placing any bets. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting and prediction markets carry inherent risk — never stake more than you can afford to lose.