B
cryptoEnds 7mo

Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

Yes4.3%
95.7%No
$533
Total Vol
$533
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the twelfth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the twelfth launch, and this market will stay open until the twelfth launch has occurred. If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Related Markets

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Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

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FAQ

What is "Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the twelfth Starship-SuperHeavy test is successfully caught by the chopsticks on the Orbital Launch Tower during its landing attempt. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful catch is defined as the chopsticks capturing and supporting the booster without it falling to the ground or causing catastrophic damage during the landing process. This market pertains to the twelfth Starship launch. If the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the twelfth Starship launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the twelfth launch, and this market will stay open until the twelfth launch has occurred. If the twelfth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 4.3% and No at 95.7%. This is based on $532.582 total volume.
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