B
๐Ÿค–aiEnds 8mo

Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Yes0.3%
99.8%No
$3K
Total Vol
$1
24h Vol
$3K
Liquidity
-0.1%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$39900.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

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Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

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Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

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Correlated Markets

Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

opposite

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

independent

Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

same

Will Mistral be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

independent

Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will Z.ai be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market. If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026". If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 0.3% and No at 99.8%. This is based on $2,839.513 total volume.
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