🏛️politicsEnds 7mo
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Yes12.4%
87.5%No
$64K
Total Vol
$120
24h Vol
$40K
Liquidity
-1.1%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
FAQ
What is "Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 12.4% and No at 87.5%. This is based on $63,643.49 total volume.