B
๐Ÿค–aiEnds 20mo

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic64.0%
36.0%OpenAI
$53K
Total Vol
$56
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
-2.5%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Anthropic wins
$56.25
If OpenAI wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

100%+0.7%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

80%+5.0%

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

100%+8.2%

Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

100%+0.7%

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

0%-6.5%

Correlated Markets

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

independent

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by May 31, 2026?

same

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

same

Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?

same

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

same

FAQ

What is "Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 64.0% and No at 36.0%. This is based on $53,338.64 total volume.
โ† Markets