B
🏛️politicsEnds 5mo

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes37.5%
62.5%No
$4.9M
Total Vol
$11K
24h Vol
$92K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$166.67
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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FAQ

What is "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?▾
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 37.5% and No at 62.5%. This is based on $4,939,326 total volume.
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