B
🎬entertainmentEnds 3mo

Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?

Yes95.5%
4.5%No
$273
Total Vol
$273
24h Vol
$162
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$4.71
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Ariana Grande officially release Petal by August 31, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ariana Grande officially releases Petal by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Petal is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Ariana Grande album officially confirmed to be the Petal project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 95.5% and No at 4.5%. This is based on $273.439 total volume.
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