B
๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 1mo

Macron out by June 30, 2026?

Yes1.6%
98.5%No
$359K
Total Vol
$5K
24h Vol
$36K
Liquidity
-0.7%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Macron out by June 30, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 1.6% and No at 98.5%. This is based on $358,554.53 total volume.
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