B
₿cryptoEnds 1mo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes11.5%
88.5%No
$7.3M
Total Vol
$163K
24h Vol
$317K
Liquidity
+2.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$769.57
If No wins
$-100.00
Market Signals
5.7
Score
+0.02
Momentum
37x
Vol Ratio
Yes
Vol Spike
$417K
Whale
50%
Consistency

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?

100%+28.4%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

6%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

40%+6.0%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?

same

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

independent

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

Trump out as President by June 30?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward. Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify. Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market. A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count. This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 11.5% and No at 88.5%. This is based on $7,330,952.5 total volume.
← Markets