🏛️politicsEnds 7mo
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
Yes5.5%
94.5%No
$22K
Total Vol
$2
24h Vol
$38K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
FAQ
What is "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 5.5% and No at 94.5%. This is based on $22,331.387 total volume.