B
₿cryptoEnds 7mo

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Yes6.5%
93.5%No
$106K
Total Vol
$1
24h Vol
$36K
Liquidity
—
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Mexican land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Mexico or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 6.5% and No at 93.5%. This is based on $105,586.29 total volume.
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