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cryptoEnds 25d

Will Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?

Yes7.1%
92.9%No
$3K
Total Vol
$3K
24h Vol
$2K
Liquidity
+2.6%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1308.45
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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FAQ

What is "Will Donald Trump dance on May 2, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 7.1% and No at 92.9%. This is based on $3,179.7 total volume.
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