Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?
About This Market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. A qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Related Markets
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?
Correlated Markets
Will Trump dance today?
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?