Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

About This Market

The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Related Markets

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

3%

Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

9%+0.7%

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

4%-0.2%

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

83%

Will Kim Kataguiri win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

3%+0.8%

FAQ