B
cryptoEnds 5mo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes12.5%
87.5%No
$141K
Total Vol
$11K
24h Vol
$213K
Liquidity
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$700.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 12.5% and No at 87.5%. This is based on $141,190.31 total volume.
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