B
cryptoEnds 1mo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes5.5%
94.5%No
$238K
Total Vol
$22K
24h Vol
$94K
Liquidity
-1.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1718.18
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

44%+10.0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

3%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

1%-0.1%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Trump out as President by June 30?

opposite

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

independent

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

same

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 5.5% and No at 94.5%. This is based on $237,670.14 total volume.
Markets