B
🤖aiEnds 1mo

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Yes8.0%
92.0%No
$2K
Total Vol
$0
24h Vol
$1K
Liquidity
—
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$1150.00
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Related Markets

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

18%+0.5%

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

27%-7.0%

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

4%

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

37%-1.0%

Correlated Markets

Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

opposite

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

independent

Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

opposite

Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?

opposite

Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

opposite

FAQ

What is "Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 8.0% and No at 92.0%. This is based on $1,985.258 total volume.
← Markets