B
🏛️politicsEnds 1mo

Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by April 30, 2026?

Yes0.1%
100.0%No
$178
Total Vol
$128
24h Vol
$149K
Liquidity
-48.9%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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FAQ

What is "Will another Canadian MP cross the floor by April 30, 2026?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting Member of Parliament (MP) in the Canadian House of Commons changes parties by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Changes parties” refers to an MP ceasing to be a member of one political party’s parliamentary caucus and joining another political party’s parliamentary caucus. A transition from independent status into a party’s caucus, or from a party’s caucus to independent status will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 0.1% and No at 100.0%. This is based on $177.623 total volume.
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