🏛️politics
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Yes4.1%
95.9%No
$40K
Total Vol
$4K
24h Vol
$21K
Liquidity
-3.5%
24h Change
About This Market
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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FAQ
What is "Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?"?▾
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 4.1% and No at 95.9%. This is based on $39,693.957 total volume.