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🏛️politicsEnds 7mo

Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?

Yes56.9%
43.1%No
$3K
Total Vol
$342
24h Vol
$231
Liquidity
+52.5%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 56.9% and No at 43.1%. This is based on $3,362.844 total volume.
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