B
🏛️politicsEnds 30mo

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes38.5%
61.6%No
$12.5M
Total Vol
$18K
24h Vol
$105K
Liquidity
-0.2%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$160.08
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related Markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

22%+2.3%

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%+0.1%

Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

1%

Correlated Markets

Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

independent

Will Phoenix Suns advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?

independent

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

same

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 38.5% and No at 61.6%. This is based on $12,530,456 total volume.
Markets