B
cryptoEnds 8mo

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Yes16.5%
83.5%No
$127K
Total Vol
$10K
24h Vol
$59K
Liquidity
+3.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$506.06
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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FAQ

What is "Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?"?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 16.5% and No at 83.5%. This is based on $127,321.414 total volume.
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