🏛️politicsEnds 7mo
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Yes4.0%
96.0%No
$1.1M
Total Vol
$476
24h Vol
$18K
Liquidity
+0.4%
24h Change
About This Market
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
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FAQ
What is "Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?"?▾
If Ukraine has officially joined NATO as a full member state at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 4.0% and No at 96.0%. This is based on $1,128,090.8 total volume.