B
๐Ÿ›๏ธpoliticsEnds 7mo

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Yes46.0%
54.0%No
$2K
Total Vol
$47
24h Vol
$136
Liquidity
+3.0%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?

100%+88.4%

Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?

1%-33.8%

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?

100%+67.2%

Will Trump say "King" during King Charles visit?

100%+11.5%

Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?

99%+86.6%

FAQ

What is "Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe. Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 46.0% and No at 54.0%. This is based on $1,574.405 total volume.
โ† Markets