B
๐Ÿค–aiEnds 1mo

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Yes57.0%
43.0%No
$5K
Total Vol
$183
24h Vol
$682
Liquidity
+15.0%
24h Change
Profit Calculator ($100)
If Yes wins
$75.44
If No wins
$-100.00

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Related Markets

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0%-0.1%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

22%-4.5%

Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

69%+4.3%

Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0%

Correlated Markets

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

independent

Trump out as President by June 30?

opposite

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

same

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

independent

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

independent

FAQ

What is "Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?"?โ–พ
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
What is the current probability?โ–พ
The market currently prices Yes at 57.0% and No at 43.0%. This is based on $5,390.213 total volume.
โ† Markets