B
₿cryptoEnds 14mo

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Yes13.5%
86.5%No
$126K
Total Vol
$4K
24h Vol
$45K
Liquidity
—
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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FAQ

What is "Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?"?▾
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?▾
The market currently prices Yes at 13.5% and No at 86.5%. This is based on $126,389.88 total volume.
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