B
cryptoEnds 1mo

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Yes18.0%
82.0%No
$115K
Total Vol
$11
24h Vol
$10K
Liquidity
+1.5%
24h Change

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

100%+0.1%

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

1%

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

11%+1.0%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

2%-1.3%

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

0%

FAQ

What is "Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?"?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the current probability?
The market currently prices Yes at 18.0% and No at 82.0%. This is based on $114,927.54 total volume.
Markets